B. Mönchengladbach vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
11º
10º
46
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BYM
1 - 1
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
HER
59%
22%
20%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
S04
2 - 2
MON
22%
22%
56%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
HOF
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
OBE
1 - 9
MON
3%
10%
87%
|
85 | 21 | 64 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
M05
0 - 3
LEV
22%
23%
56%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AUG
1 - 2
M05
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
M05
0 - 0
FCU
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
RTV
1 - 2
M05
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ERZ
0 - 3
M05
11%
18%
71%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |