B. Dortmund vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
HOF
1 - 3
BVB
20%
20%
60%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BVB
1 - 0
WOL
69%
18%
13%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
PSG
2 - 0
BVB
21%
20%
59%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 4
BVB
20%
21%
59%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
BVB
2 - 2
HEI
79%
13%
8%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ACM
2 - 0
LAZ
55%
23%
23%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CAG
1 - 3
ACM
16%
23%
61%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ACM
1 - 0
VER
79%
15%
7%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
ACM
0 - 0
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
INT
5 - 1
ACM
64%
20%
16%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |