B. Dortmund vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
4º
9º
5º
42
8º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RTV
1 - 1
BVB
10%
16%
74%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BVB
1 - 0
KOL
74%
15%
10%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 6
BVB
3%
10%
87%
|
91 | 43 | 48 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BVB
3 - 1
AJA
63%
19%
18%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
CHL
1 - 1
BVB
32%
24%
44%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HEI
2 - 3
HOF
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 0
HEI
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 8
HEI
3%
8%
89%
|
78 | 35 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HEI
3 - 2
VER
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
HEI
1 - 1
PAP
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |