Bon Pastor vs San Lorenzo Catalunya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bon Pastor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PNA
0 - 0
BPA
77%
13%
10%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BPA
1 - 0
MON
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 4
BPA
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BPA
3 - 2
EEF
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 0
BPA
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
San Lorenzo Catalunya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 0
AMA
50%
20%
30%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
YTB
1 - 3
LOR
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 5
LLO
52%
20%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 1
LOR
8%
13%
79%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 1
FUN
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |