Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 1
BOL
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FUL
0 - 1
BOL
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
WIG
0 - 1
BOL
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BOL
2 - 0
EVE
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
TOT
2 - 1
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
ASV
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ASV
4 - 1
BBU
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BPO
1 - 1
ASV
26%
24%
51%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ASV
2 - 2
FUL
56%
25%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
MUD
3 - 1
ASV
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |