Bologna vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
BOL
2 - 0
PAD
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 0
FCN
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 2
HUR
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
BOL
4 - 0
FIO
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
UDI
1 - 0
BOL
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SPE
0 - 1
SPA
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
PRG
0 - 0
SPA
37%
26%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 0
BEL
89%
10%
2%
|
73 | 29 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 1
EIN
25%
23%
52%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 1
GOR
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |