Bologna vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
BOL
0 - 0
JUV
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PAL
4 - 1
BOL
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 1
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 1
BOL
52%
26%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
BOL
2 - 1
UDI
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 1
SAS
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
FRO
1 - 1
MOD
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 0
EMP
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
MOD
2 - 2
ABN
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SIE
2 - 0
MOD
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |