Bologna vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BOL
0 - 1
CHI
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
ACM
0 - 1
BOL
74%
18%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 3
EMP
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 1
BOL
69%
20%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BOL
3 - 2
NAP
13%
23%
65%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 3
LAZ
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
LAZ
0 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
INT
1 - 2
LAZ
47%
26%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
LAZ
2 - 1
UDI
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SAM
65%
21%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |