Bologna vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1968 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOL
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 1
ACM
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
73%
18%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1968 |
VOJ
0 - 2
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
BOL
2 - 1
INT
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAN
56%
26%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
MAN
1 - 2
FIO
20%
27%
53%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
MAN
0 - 1
SPA
38%
33%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIC
31%
33%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
ROM
2 - 2
MAN
63%
24%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |