Copa Libertadores Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 3-3
Bolívar vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
OPE
1 - 1
BOL
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 0
STR
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
ROY
0 - 0
BOL
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 1
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 0
BOL
83%
12%
6%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ATP
3 - 3
CRZ
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 2
ATP
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
ATP
2 - 0
BAH
67%
21%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
ATP
0 - 2
FLA
32%
25%
44%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
ATP
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |