Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 0-1
Boavista vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
HIB
3 - 3
BOA
34%
26%
39%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
BOA
4 - 0
HIB
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
BOA
4 - 1
VST
72%
20%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
SLB
2 - 1
BOA
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
BOA
1 - 2
VAR
75%
18%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2002 |
AUX
2 - 0
MPL
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
PSG
1 - 0
AUX
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
AUX
2 - 3
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
MON
1 - 1
AUX
58%
23%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SED
3 - 3
AUX
42%
28%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |