FA Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Blackburn Rovers vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 1
BBU
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ROT
4 - 0
BBU
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
BBU
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
BBU
1 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
BBU
1 - 2
MID
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BIR
1 - 2
PNE
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 2
BIR
24%
23%
53%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 2
BIR
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
BIR
1 - 3
MID
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
BIR
0 - 1
HUL
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |