Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Final
Global 2-4
Birmingham City vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1961 |
ARS
1 - 1
BIR
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
BIR
1 - 2
WBA
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1961 |
BIR
2 - 6
BUR
38%
23%
39%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1961 |
IPS
4 - 1
BIR
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
WBA
0 - 0
BIR
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
ROM
4 - 0
CAT
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
JUV
1 - 0
ROM
84%
10%
6%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
ROM
5 - 2
PAL
81%
12%
6%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
SAM
1 - 0
ROM
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ROM
2 - 3
INT
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |