Birkirkara vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
BIR
2 - 1
MOS
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
BIR
3 - 0
GZI
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
BIR
3 - 1
HIB
43%
24%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TAR
0 - 3
BIR
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
GHA
1 - 4
BIR
8%
17%
75%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 1
FOL
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
TFI
0 - 0
FIO
33%
23%
44%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 0
TPE
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 0
DOM
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 2
FIO
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |