FA Cup 1/256
Global 3-2
Billericay Town vs Taunton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BIL
1 - 0
GLO
81%
13%
7%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BIL
9 - 1
WHI
72%
17%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HAM
0 - 2
BIL
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BIL
4 - 1
BUR
84%
11%
5%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BIL
1 - 1
DAR
61%
20%
18%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Taunton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 2
TAU
17%
20%
64%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
POO
1 - 0
TAU
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TAU
3 - 0
FRO
82%
12%
7%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MET
4 - 1
TAU
20%
22%
58%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
TAU
4 - 0
BIT
74%
15%
10%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |