BFC Daugavpils vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
10º
7º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
BFC
6 - 0
MCF
46%
22%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
JGV
2 - 1
BFC
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
BFC
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HLI
6 - 1
BFC
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HLI
1 - 1
BFC
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 0
FKT
21%
21%
58%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AUD
2 - 0
SUP
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
FKE
1 - 1
SUP
64%
18%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LIE
8 - 1
SUP
81%
14%
5%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FSM
1 - 1
SUP
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |