BFC Daugavpils vs FK RFS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
6º
5º
47
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 81 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 73 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 73 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 53 |
4º
|
63% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 47 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 42 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 37 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 35 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 25 |
10º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 75.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 1
BFC
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 1
FKT
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 0
GRO
28%
24%
49%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
49%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
BFC
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
FKJ
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 3
RIG
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 1
VAL
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
RIG
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 2
RIG
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |