BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
5º
28
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
82.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 40 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
RIG
18%
23%
60%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 1
BFC
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
FKJ
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 2
LIE
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
AUD
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 0
LIE
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |