BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
6º
5º
12
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 81 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 73 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 73 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 53 |
4º
|
63% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 47 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 42 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 37 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 35 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 25 |
10º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 84% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 0
LIE
26%
26%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
RIG
18%
23%
60%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 1
GRO
28%
25%
48%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
FKJ
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 3
VAL
14%
22%
64%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
AUD
22%
28%
50%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
FKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |