Berrón vs EI San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berrón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 0
BER
35%
25%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BER
2 - 1
UNI
50%
23%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
AND
37%
24%
39%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ROC
2 - 0
BER
62%
21%
17%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 2
NAV
41%
25%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
EI San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ESM
0 - 1
ROC
35%
26%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 0
ESM
30%
26%
44%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ESM
0 - 0
AST
62%
22%
17%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LDV
1 - 0
ESM
7%
14%
79%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ESM
0 - 2
URR
41%
28%
31%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |