Chateauroux vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
LMU
1 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 3
FCR
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
FCM
1 - 1
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
SOC
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
MOA
1 - 1
CHA
35%
26%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
RED
2 - 1
MGG
76%
17%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
NIO
1 - 1
RED
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
RED
2 - 0
CHO
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
ASN
1 - 1
RED
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
RED
2 - 0
VIL
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |