Berga vs Bellavista Milán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
UEA
0 - 1
BER
22%
23%
55%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 1
BER
61%
21%
18%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BER
1 - 2
MOL
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CEP
3 - 2
BER
45%
23%
32%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BER
1 - 0
SBD
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bellavista Milán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BVM
1 - 2
MAT
16%
22%
62%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 1
BVM
88%
9%
3%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BVM
2 - 2
TRO
32%
25%
42%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GIR
2 - 0
BVM
43%
25%
33%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
BVM
0 - 1
OAR
35%
25%
40%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |