Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 1
PAO
68%
18%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BOA
0 - 2
SLB
12%
21%
67%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 1
SLB
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
SLB
3 - 2
VIT
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 0
FEN
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 1
VST
70%
20%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 3
SCP
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
SCP
1 - 1
EMP
57%
23%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SCP
1 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
NIC
0 - 1
SCP
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |