Benfica vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
SLB
0 - 0
LEX
70%
20%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
VST
1 - 1
SLB
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2007 |
SLB
3 - 0
EST
72%
19%
9%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
18%
25%
57%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
SHA
1 - 2
SLB
30%
23%
47%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
FEI
0 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
RIO
0 - 1
FEI
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
FEI
3 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
TRO
2 - 1
FEI
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
FEI
2 - 1
EST
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |