Benfica vs Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
HAL
2 - 1
SLB
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
UDL
1 - 1
SLB
23%
25%
52%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
SLB
4 - 1
BMA
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
SLB
2 - 1
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
EST
0 - 0
BOA
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
EST
0 - 1
SPB
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
UDL
2 - 0
EST
47%
27%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
EST
3 - 0
CAM
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
FCP
2 - 1
EST
80%
14%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |