Benfica vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
SCP
3 - 0
SLB
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2001 |
FAR
2 - 2
SLB
22%
25%
54%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
SLB
3 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
CAM
1 - 1
SLB
17%
23%
60%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 2
BOA
23%
26%
52%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
EST
1 - 2
ALV
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 1
UDL
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
BMA
0 - 0
ALV
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 3
FCP
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |