Benfica II vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
FAM
0 - 0
BEN
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 2
SPC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UNM
1 - 0
BEN
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
POR
3 - 0
BEN
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FAF
1 - 3
COV
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FAM
3 - 1
FAF
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
POR
4 - 0
FAF
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FAF
1 - 1
SPC
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
VSC
1 - 3
FAF
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |