Benfica II vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 3
BEN
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 1
COV
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
REA
5 - 1
BEN
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 5
ACV
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 3
BEN
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ACA
1 - 1
PEN
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 2
ACA
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ACA
1 - 2
VSC
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GFC
0 - 4
ACA
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 1
SAN
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |