Belgrano vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
18%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
GOD
0 - 0
BEL
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AGR
0 - 1
BEL
29%
31%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
QUI
0 - 0
BEL
34%
29%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
INS
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 1
BEL
15%
28%
57%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SUA
1 - 1
RIE
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
CAG
0 - 0
SUA
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SUA
0 - 1
ALB
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GIM
0 - 0
SUA
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
SUA
0 - 2
STM
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |