Belgrano vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 0
BEL
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
BEL
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 0
PLA
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GOD
0 - 0
BEL
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
NOB
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 1
BOC
69%
20%
12%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BOC
0 - 2
RIV
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BOC
0 - 0
PAL
24%
28%
48%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BOC
1 - 1
LAN
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
CCS
0 - 3
BOC
37%
29%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |