Becerril vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
13º
11º
50
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Becerril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
UNA
2 - 1
BEC
29%
25%
46%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BEC
1 - 0
PON
46%
25%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ACF
3 - 1
BEC
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEC
1 - 2
AST
28%
26%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
BEC
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AVI
2 - 0
TOR
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CAB
0 - 0
AVI
26%
26%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 3
LVC
50%
24%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
AVI
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 1
STM
69%
19%
13%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |