Besancon RC vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
16º
6º
57
1º
14º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 91% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besancon RC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
FUR
0 - 0
BRC
71%
19%
10%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRC
3 - 2
STG
20%
27%
53%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SML
1 - 1
BRC
77%
16%
7%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BRC
0 - 0
BOB
11%
22%
68%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
BRC
66%
20%
15%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ESW
1 - 2
SPI
18%
24%
58%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SPI
1 - 1
COL
34%
27%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FLE
0 - 0
SPI
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FUR
1 - 0
SPI
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPI
3 - 1
STG
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |