Bayern München vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BYM
4 - 2
BVB
70%
17%
13%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
BYM
7%
13%
81%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BYM
5 - 3
AUG
89%
9%
3%
|
97 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
BYM
2 - 0
PSG
73%
15%
12%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
STU
1 - 2
BYM
3%
9%
89%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
M05
1 - 1
SCF
30%
25%
46%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 2
JUV
30%
27%
44%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
HOF
51%
23%
26%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 0
SCF
57%
22%
22%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |