Bayern Alzenau vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern Alzenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
BAY
0 - 4
ULM
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
HES
3 - 0
BAY
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BAY
1 - 3
STE
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
BAL
2 - 1
BAY
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BAY
1 - 4
HOF
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
SGS
1 - 1
HOM
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MAI
1 - 1
HOM
21%
23%
57%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
HOM
6 - 1
VFR
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
AST
2 - 3
HOM
24%
23%
52%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HOM
2 - 2
FSV
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |