B. Leverkusen vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DAR
0 - 2
LEV
11%
19%
70%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RBL
2 - 3
LEV
47%
24%
29%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 1
LEV
14%
21%
66%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
LEV
4 - 1
VNZ
86%
11%
4%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 3
STU
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
STU
5 - 2
RBL
20%
22%
58%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RTV
1 - 0
STU
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
STU
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
STU
6 - 1
SGF
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |