B. Leverkusen vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
8º
1º
34
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RBL
2 - 3
LEV
47%
24%
29%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 1
LEV
14%
21%
66%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
LEV
4 - 1
VNZ
86%
11%
4%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
LEV
4 - 0
RTV
75%
15%
10%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LEV
3 - 0
EIN
58%
21%
21%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
AUG
60%
21%
18%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
STU
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
GAE
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
EIN
2 - 1
MON
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
BRE
54%
23%
24%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |