Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-5
B. Leverkusen vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1994 |
EIN
2 - 0
LEV
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1994 |
LEV
0 - 1
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1994 |
SLB
1 - 1
LEV
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1994 |
KOL
1 - 1
LEV
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1994 |
LEV
1 - 2
HSV
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
SLB
8 - 0
FAM
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLB
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1994 |
SLB
1 - 1
LEV
59%
23%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
FAR
0 - 0
SLB
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
SLB
1 - 0
BMA
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |