Bayburt vs Fatsa Belediye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
50%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
11º
14º
12º
37
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayburt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
4EY
2 - 1
BAY
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 2
OSK
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 0
BAY
81%
14%
6%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 0
ANA
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 0
BAY
66%
21%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fatsa Belediye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FAT
1 - 0
ANA
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 2
FAT
54%
26%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FAT
0 - 0
BKS
13%
21%
66%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AKB
0 - 1
FAT
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FAT
2 - 0
ASP
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |