Bavois vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SCB
0 - 2
BAV
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAV
3 - 0
SER
43%
23%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
DEL
2 - 0
BAV
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BAV
0 - 3
ETO
21%
23%
55%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
BAV
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 1
BUL
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 0
LUG
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 3
STG
36%
24%
41%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 0
LUG
75%
17%
9%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 3
YOU
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |