Batatais vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Batatais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
BAT
4 - 2
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
JOS
1 - 0
BAT
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 1
BAT
53%
23%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
BAT
0 - 0
PRI
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DES
0 - 0
BAT
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
COM
1 - 1
PEN
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
VOT
2 - 2
COM
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
COM
0 - 2
NOR
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
COM
0 - 0
OLI
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
PRI
0 - 2
COM
20%
27%
53%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |