Bastia vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
45.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GUI
5 - 0
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 0
ASS
27%
29%
44%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 2
NAN
33%
30%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 1
ANG
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
LIL
3 - 0
RED
65%
23%
12%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
LIL
0 - 0
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ASN
1 - 2
LIL
35%
29%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 1
LIL
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BER
1 - 2
LIL
8%
20%
72%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |