Bastia vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
GET
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
SOC
41%
25%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ASN
1 - 2
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
MPL
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAS
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
ARL
2 - 0
LHA
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
ARL
1 - 1
LHA
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
DIJ
2 - 3
ARL
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 0
ARL
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
ARL
0 - 2
GUI
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |