Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 4-4
Basel vs Hammarby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FSN
0 - 7
BAS
3%
9%
88%
|
83 | 8 | 75 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
4 - 0
UJP
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
5 - 1
SER
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
UJP
1 - 2
BAS
24%
24%
53%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
6 - 1
SIO
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
HIF
0 - 2
ELF
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
HIF
5 - 1
ČUK
47%
24%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
GÖT
0 - 0
HIF
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
ČUK
3 - 1
HIF
47%
24%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
OST
1 - 1
HIF
17%
22%
62%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |