Barnsley vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
QPR
4 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
WBA
1 - 1
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 1
QPR
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SWA
3 - 1
BAR
52%
27%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
DER
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
ROC
0 - 0
HAR
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
ROC
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ROC
1 - 2
BUR
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
HER
2 - 1
ROC
22%
26%
53%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
NOT
1 - 0
ROC
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |