Barnsley vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
BAR
35%
25%
41%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
MKD
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
STF
0 - 1
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 2
BAR
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
FOR
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SWI
0 - 1
CRE
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 0
COL
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 0
LEY
18%
22%
61%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
CRE
0 - 0
LUS
43%
22%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 0
CRE
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |