Barnsley vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 2
BCF
58%
20%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 0
LIN
66%
18%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1949 |
WHU
2 - 0
BAR
55%
21%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1949 |
WBA
2 - 0
BAR
63%
18%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1949 |
LIN
0 - 1
BAR
48%
22%
29%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
CHE
1 - 0
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHE
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1949 |
SHW
0 - 0
CHE
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1949 |
CHE
1 - 0
LUT
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1949 |
CHE
1 - 1
SHW
48%
23%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |