League One Playoff Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Barnsley vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 1
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 2
POS
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MKD
4 - 4
BAR
23%
27%
51%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 3
IPS
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
OXF
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 1
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BRO
2 - 3
BOL
22%
27%
51%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 0
FLE
63%
23%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 1
STA
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 0
STF
71%
20%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |