Copa Chile 1/16
Global 2-3
Barnechea vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CSL
2 - 1
BAR
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 1
BAR
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
DEP
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FVC
0 - 1
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CSL
2 - 1
BAR
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CSL
1 - 0
UCH
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 1
CSL
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CSL
2 - 0
OHI
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
CSL
0 - 0
EVE
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |