Bahrein vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
BHR
0 - 2
ARE
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
YEM
0 - 2
BHR
9%
18%
73%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BHR
1 - 0
PHL
85%
12%
4%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
BHR
2 - 0
KGZ
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BHR
1 - 1
TKM
79%
14%
6%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
PSE
0 - 1
AUS
10%
20%
71%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
AUS
7 - 0
BGD
91%
7%
1%
|
87 | 37 | 50 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 0
NZL
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ENG
1 - 0
AUS
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 2
AUS
51%
25%
25%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |