Barcelona vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
LEV
1 - 3
FCB
13%
20%
67%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
OSA
3 - 2
FCB
7%
17%
76%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 0
VCF
85%
11%
5%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 1
RSO
92%
6%
2%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 1
FCB
19%
22%
59%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
STO
0 - 1
VCF
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VCF
4 - 0
SPO
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 0
VCF
85%
11%
5%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ATM
0 - 0
VCF
41%
26%
34%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 1
FCB
19%
22%
59%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |